U.S. President Joe Biden signed an executive order aimed at strengthening the nation’s AI infrastructure. This move reflects Washington’s intent to maintain a competitive edge in emerging technologies. A day prior, the administration announced stricter export controls on advanced semiconductors, targeting China and other adversaries. Despite strategic partnerships, the US excludes India from unrestricted access to AI chips under its three-tier framework.
India, a strategic partner of the U.S. in the Indo-Pacific, was left off the list of 18 nations granted unrestricted access to advanced AI chips. Analysts attribute this exclusion to India’s longstanding ties with Moscow and its technology regulatory framework concerns.
India was placed in the second tier of a three-category framework introduced by the U.S. Commerce Department. Tier one comprises the U.S. and 18 allied countries. Tier two, where India falls, includes allies like Israel and Singapore, which face specific caps on semiconductor access. The third tier imposes the strictest restrictions on adversarial nations, including China and Russia.
Analysts Weigh In on India’s Exclusion
The US excludes India from unrestricted access to AI chips, citing concerns over regulatory gaps and ties with Russia. Experts noted that India’s close ties with Russia played a significant role in its exclusion. Bhaskar Chakravorti, dean at The Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, stated that India’s historic and current relationship with Moscow creates trust concerns for the U.S.
Additionally, some reports allege that certain Indian companies have facilitated Russia’s activities amid the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. While disappointing for India, experts like Scott Jones from the Stimson Center believe this exclusion does not represent a major setback.
“India’s regulatory framework for managing advanced technologies is perceived to be less robust compared to the 18 unrestricted countries,” Jones remarked. However, growing U.S.-India cooperation in technology could reduce these limitations over time.
Pathway for India’s Inclusion Possible
Richard Rossow of the Center for Strategic and International Studies highlighted potential exemptions for certain countries under the new U.S. framework. He expressed optimism about India’s future eligibility for unrestricted access.
Recent bilateral engagements underscore India’s importance in U.S. strategic planning. In January, U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan visited India to enhance the U.S.-India Initiative on Critical and Emerging Technology (iCET). This collaboration focuses on advancing semiconductor research and manufacturing in India.
During the visit, U.S. chipmaker Micron announced a $2.7 billion investment in semiconductor packaging facilities in India. The Indian government is also bolstering its domestic chip production through initiatives like the India Semiconductor Mission and the Production Linked Incentive scheme.
U.S. Prioritizes AI Leadership
Analysts believe that the US excludes India from unrestricted access to AI chips due to its historical relationship with Moscow. The Biden administration’s AI policies aim to ensure America’s dominance in AI and protect critical technologies from adversarial misuse. A White House statement emphasized the need to prevent reliance on foreign-controlled systems and secure AI infrastructure under U.S. influence.
Export restrictions introduced in 2022 have been expanded to curb China’s access to advanced chips with potential military applications. While initial measures disrupted China’s semiconductor industry, Beijing continues to advance its technology capabilities.
Challenges Ahead for U.S. Policy
Despite the ambitious scope of these controls, implementation remains complex. Bhaskar Chakravorti noted concerns about lobbying pressures, potential leaks in the export framework, and the possibility of secondary markets.
Scott Jones highlighted the policy’s symbolic nature, stating it sends a clear message to global players: nations must choose between aligning with the U.S. or China in the AI ecosystem. This ultimatum reflects the strategic rivalry shaping the future of global technology partnerships.
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