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Tesla Stock Experience 9% Increase, Adding $300 Billion in Market Value Following Trump Election Win

by Samir Gautam
November 12, 2024
in Business, Market
Reading Time: 2 mins read
0
In a sweeping policy change unveiled Tuesday, U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick announced that vehicles composed of at least 85% domestically produced parts will be fully exempt from newly introduced tariffs on automobiles. The move is being hailed as a push to bring automotive manufacturing back home—but it also raises eyebrows over who benefits. As of now, only three vehicle models qualify under this high domestic content threshold. All of them are Teslas. Tesla Stands Alone According to 2024 data from the Kogod School of Business at American University, Tesla is the only automaker to have models meeting or exceeding the 85% domestic content threshold. This essentially means Tesla escapes the new tariffs unscathed, while other automakers, even American giants like Ford, fall short. Here’s a breakdown of the Top 10 U.S.-market vehicles ranked by domestic content: Rank Make Model Total Domestic Content 1 Tesla Model 3 Performance 87.5% 2 Tesla Model Y Long Range 85.0% 2 Tesla Model Y 85.0% 3 Tesla Cybertruck 82.5% 4 Ford Mustang GT AT 80.0% 4 Ford Mustang GT 5.0L 80.0% 4 Ford Mustang GT Coupe Premium 80.0% 4 Tesla Model S 80.0% 4 Tesla Model X 80.0% 5 Honda Passport AWD 76.5% Tariff Breakdown: Winners and Losers Under the new rules: The base import tariff is set at 10%. A steep 25% tariff will apply to most foreign-made vehicles and parts. Automakers with vehicles over 85% U.S. content are completely exempt. A rebate program will be offered for two years to help automakers adjust—but it won’t offer permanent relief. For Tesla, the exemption means simplified logistics, no regulatory hiccups, and potentially lower prices for American consumers. For others, particularly Ford and Honda, the difference of just a few percentage points in domestic content could cost millions in added tariffs—or force complex supply chain restructuring. Critics Cry Foul: “A Tesla Carve-Out?” Industry analysts and some lawmakers are calling the policy a “de facto Tesla exemption.” While the rule appears neutral on paper, its real-world impact is anything but. “Domestic content rules make sense. But setting the bar so high that only one company qualifies? That’s regulatory favoritism in disguise,” noted one automotive policy analyst. Tesla CEO Elon Musk has been seen frequently in Washington in recent months, often in meetings at the White House. While those visits were initially written off as routine, this policy shift now offers a clearer context. What Comes Next? The White House formalized the new policy via executive order Tuesday evening, accompanied by a fact sheet confirming the content threshold and tariff structure. A more detailed implementation roadmap is expected in the coming weeks. The move may prompt rapid investments in U.S. manufacturing—or provoke international trade tensions. Until then, only Tesla is cruising tariff-free.
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Tesla Inc. is on an extraordinary stock surge, with investors piling into shares of the electric vehicle (EV) giant in anticipation of favorable policies under Donald Trump’s potential second term. Since the November 5 election, Tesla’s stock has climbed over 40%, adding more than $300 billion in market value. Shares closed Monday with a 9% gain at $350, as investors respond to what they perceive as a favorable market environment for the Elon Musk-led company.

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The Role of Momentum in Tesla’s Stock Surge

Tesla is widely regarded as a “momentum” stock, where gains—and losses—tend to accelerate quickly, heavily influenced by shifts in investor sentiment. According to Steve Sosnick, Chief Strategist at Interactive Brokers, this aspect of Tesla’s trading behavior makes it highly responsive to election-related optimism.

“Musk went all in on a Trump victory, so it’s understandable why the market would view Tesla as a beneficiary,” Sosnick noted. “Combine that with the market’s love for buying dips, chasing rallies, and often using leverage or options to do so, and we get a rally that borders on ludicrous mode.”

Investor Optimism and Expectations of Pro-Business Policies

A Trump presidency is seen as potentially beneficial for Tesla, with investors hoping that the former president’s emphasis on American manufacturing and possible regulatory leniency will create a favorable business landscape. Speculation around EV incentives and infrastructure investments has fueled confidence that Tesla will emerge stronger, even amid increasing competition.

Options Market Reflects Bullish Sentiment

Options traders are actively betting on further gains for Tesla. According to market data, the premium on three-month call options over puts has reached its highest level since early 2021. Significant volume in options contracts targets a rally to $450 and beyond, indicating confidence in Tesla’s continued upward trajectory among investors willing to pay a premium for potential gains.

The increased activity in options trading highlights the broader market’s confidence in Tesla’s ability to capitalize on favorable conditions. For options traders, the elevated call premiums suggest they expect further gains for Tesla, driven by a mix of political optimism, economic policy speculation, and market momentum. The robust buying of call options suggests that, despite some concerns about overvaluation, investors remain highly optimistic about Tesla’s trajectory.

Tesla’s Market Value Reaches New Highs

Tesla’s recent surge in stock price has contributed to a significant increase in its market capitalization, adding over $300 billion in value in less than two weeks. This growth is a testament to the company’s enduring appeal to investors and the market’s excitement over Tesla’s long-term growth potential.

The rapid climb has also raised questions among analysts about Tesla’s valuation, given its position as one of the most highly valued carmakers globally. However, with many investors betting on its dominant role in the future of transportation and green technology, Tesla continues to attract attention as both a disruptor and a leader in the rapidly evolving EV sector.

Tags: #teslamotorsDonald TrumpTesla stockTesla stock surgeUS President Trump
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