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Why Exxon Mobil Stock soared even though market went down?

Exxon Mobil (XOM) stock has been climbing since Friday when the fossil-fuel behemoth forecasted a $700 million increase in third-quarter earnings to $1.5 billion due to higher oil and natural gas prices.

Exxon Mobil

Image: Financial Times

Exxon stated in a Securities and Exchange Commission filing that oil will likely raise earnings by $200 million to $600 million, while gas will likely boost earnings by $500 million to $900 million.

Oil prices in the United States have risen 54 percent year to year, and are currently trading at $74.54. This year, natural-gas costs have more than doubled.

Refining margins are expected to boost third-quarter profitability by $500 million to $700 million, according to Exxon. Chemicals margins, on the other hand, are expected to be cut by $200 million to $400 million, according to the report.

Exxon Mobil (XOM) ended at $61.72 in the most recent trading session, up 1.3 percent from the day before. This move outperformed the S&P 500’s 1.3 percent daily loss.

The oil and natural gas company’s stock had risen 11.04 percent in the previous month, beating the Oils-Energy sector’s gain of 9.53 percent and the S&P 500’s loss of 3.58 percent.

As XOM’s next earnings release date approaches, Wall Street will be searching for signs of optimism. On that day, XOM is expected to announce earnings of $1.43 per share, representing an increase of 894.44 percent year over year. According to the most current average estimate, quarterly sales will be $72.04 billion, up 55.93 percent over the previous quarter.

Exxon’s narrow-moat Exxon is valued at $74 by Morningstar analyst Allen Good.

He stated on July 30 that “Exxon had a great second quarter, supported by a rebound in commodity prices and a record quarter from its chemical segment.”

“Fundamental progress is being made, and rising commodity prices should help with deleveraging. During the first half of the year, Exxon improved structural efficiency by over $1 billion.”

“Given recent activist pressure, new board members, and prior relative underperformance,” Good said, “we anticipate Exxon to retain its focus on capital discipline.”

“Exxon remains an appealing pick in the industry, given its value and potential for improvement,” says the analyst.

“Management underlined that capital expenditures will be at the low end of its forecast range of $16 billion to $19 billion. As a result, as debt falls within management’s desired range of 20% to 25%, shareholder returns should follow.

“Exxon remains an appealing pick in the industry, given its value and potential for improvement,” says the analyst.

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